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Re: UEFA Champions League 2026/27 Season
in Gambling discussion

Ousmane Dembele said they are going for the 3rd one next season, I know that PSG are the best team in the world right now but I don’t believe or think they will lift the champions league title next season, they lifted the champions league this season by luck, and the reason why I said they won by luck was because penalty is a game of luck and they won the champions league by penalty, next season any team that will meet them in the final will win them that’s if they will even make it to the final again next season.
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As it stands now we can't really write them off, because they have almost what it takes to win it three times in a row, like they've got what it takes to win it rather, but let's not rush into conclusions because I still see next season to be a very big competitive season, as many managers and players will come into clubs and some will leave too, but the fact is in as much as the other teams are strengthen their squads so is Paris Saint Germain is also strengthening theirs also, so it's definitely gonna be a tough one for every football teams that is playing the competition.

SuperBitMan I know this is a forum where everyone can express their opinion, but maybe you should try to fill your words with some meaning.

Team X won't lift the UCL trophy next season because I think they won't. You are probably right because the odds for any team to lift that trophy are bad. It doesn't matter which team you take, but anyone claiming to have a strong educated guess as to who will win the UCL trophy is talking bs.

Your final statement that PSG won by luck, reducing their whole efforts to that one penalty shootout, I can't read that without getting headaches. PSG beat Chelsea with +6 goals in both legs, PSG beat Liverpool with +4 goals in both legs, PSG beat Bayern Munich in a stunning and dramatic manner and they were closer to a win against Arsenal than Arsenal was to win against PSG. In the penalty shootout PSG was the team with stronger nerves.

Summarising all of this as luck isn't smart. What matters is whether a title is deserved or not if you take all performances together and this title was deserved. The reality is that all the teams have their lucky moments and it doesn't matter whether that is in the quarterfinals or the final, you could argue anytime that the team should have been out because of X or Y in match Z.

SuperBitMan we agree that PSG will probably not win the UCL trophy next season. I say this because no team has a very good chance to win it. Tell me if you already hae a strong opinion which team will win it and we can see next year whether your visionary power is real. Grin
#1
Re: ⚽ Football Transfers Speculation, Odds and Predictions
in Gambling discussion

Leao will find a new team within no time. If he is in a good environment, he can help any team to improve. I think he is similar to Doku from Manchester City and whenever I tuned in and watched a Manchester City match, Doku made the match faster and harder to defend. Leao is the same because of his speed and explosiveness.

He still played a lot of matches last season, but he was substituted quite a lot. He missed matches due to injuries, but still had 29 appearances. The EPL is a good destination for him. He is a physically strong player and would get along very well there.
Leao has been one of the players I first spotted in Milan when I started watching Seria A matches three seasons ago and I saw a lot of potential in him. I believe he is doing the right thing to leave Milan and go somewhere else where he can win trophies with his outstanding skills and contribution for the club.

Yes because you can enjoy watching him play with his fast feet. The speed and how quickly he is leaving the opponents dizzy with his moves. Grin

AC Milan could have other plans, but I never understand when you sell a player who can do things that others players can't do as well and Leao has skills that can't easily be matched by others.

He is doing the right thing if he doesn't sell himself cheaply to a middle class club. If he finds a great club in the EPL for example, it would be the right way to go for him and I would be curious to find out how he is doing there.
#2
Re: 🐳 Whale.io 🎁 FREE RAFFLE 🎁 Prize 50$!
in Games and rounds
41 - Dump3er
#3
Re: My Interview with Famous Hardware Hacker Joe Grand aka Kingpin
in Reputation
<Snip>
I think Joe has real passion for the work he does. It's not only about the money and his share of the spoils. We hear people say all the time how they love to help others and bla, bla, bla. But it sounds so insincere and fake. I think Joe really means it when he says it. He also helps people change the way they view hackers. The average person probably sees them as bad and evil characters who sit in their dark basements, looking to exploit anything so they can and steal and hurt people. But we see a different story here. A story of someone who uses their hacking skills to give back to those who have suffered losses in the past. It's nice to see.

I couldn't agree more and frankly, I might have said it myself when eventually I had to admit at some point I couldn't do much about another person's situation. Motivation was there, goodwill was there, results were not.  I think some people don't say it with bad intentions, but maybe overestimate their ability to really resolve an issue for someone else (or even their own issues and don't get help...).

In Joe's case it is so unbelievably tangible and you need a profound skillset to solve the problems he solves. It's not like mowing the grass in the neighbors yard. Joe said himself that he feels like a surgeon every now and then in regards to the mental burden he carries and how he perceives the people approaching him. They are often like patients, mentally broken to a point where dark thoughts flood their minds and in that respect, I fully agree with Joe. The young guy I mentioned in my post above is the best example. Just listen to his voice again, he was done and he said despite having the money back now, he is still living through this dark emotional world of the past.

Since I have been there although not on the same financial level, I know what they are talking about, Joe and his "patients" Grin It is tough when you lose anything of life-changing quality. Can be money, can be a loved one, can be a piece of art if you will. And Joe is able to bring back lost things that were thought to not be recoverable.

The last part of the second video is like a nail biting thriller, when it is about those &44 million. Securities there with guns and tasers, Joe doing the work while clients are present, everyone of them is blurred. Grin What I like about Joe's videos is that they are authentic. He could as well choose only the successful cases, but he presents the audience whatever is most important for them to get to know. This last guy has been either scammed or the friend accidentally wiped the Trezor. Both is tough if you lose $66 million.

Alright, thanks for sharing again and if one day a Trezor coincidentally falls into my hands and it is a model Joe can hack, I know where to go. Grin
#4
Re: JJG’s Outline of Bitcoin Investment Ideas
in Trading Discussion
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I never said that newbies need an emergency fund before starting to invest in bitcoin, yet I did say that beginners need some back up funds so that they do not use non-discretionary funds to invest into bitcoin.

I think it is not that simple for most here to differentiate between back up and emergency funds. I absolutely agree that back up funds should be in place, ideally for anyone at any age in any situation. As for emergency funds, it depends on what an individual's emergency potential looks like. If someone needs a car to get to work, has three kids, pays a mortgage for a house, is the sole earner in the family, doesn't have insurances in place for everything, an emergency fund sounds like a must have to me. The exposure to emergencies is quite big under those circumstances.

If you are single, got a decent job, an injury/disability insurance to cover risk in case of an accident and subsequent loss of income, do the laundry at the laundromat around the corner, the exposure to emergencies is very different and allows for higher risks to be taken. I think there is a category of people that doesn't necessarily need excess cash, like back up cash, but a back up plan, which some may say boils down to the same. I have been in the situation and knew what I could do just in case I had to bridge a financial gap.

I think most people should be able to get started with a reasonable income-based DCA approach. If there is really no discretionary income whatsoever, every month ends with a net minus, I think some other fundamentals should be changed first urgently to improve life quality in general, apart from bitcoin investments. I know it's tough for some people and circumstances can be horribly stressful, but from time to time it would be better to face that truth first because otherwise there is definitely no financial leeway to survive any bear phase in the bitcoin market ever. IIRC, JayJuanGee has often said that your calculation should put you in a place that allows you to get along with either your holdings or DCAing for at least a four year period. That sounds about right to me. You can't predict the next war or the next crazy president, so you better be prepared to be able to hold on for four years or longer.

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Guys should not be starting investing into bitcoin with absolutely zero back up funds and/or emergency funds.  If you are a beginner and you invest 100% of your discretionary funds into bitcoin, and you otherwise have no back up funds (or emergency funds), then how is that going to work if you have any basic expense prior to your next paycheck?  And, what if your next pay check does not come in the amount you expected or it gets delayed?  What you going to do?


This is a good point because depending on where you work on what your health situation is or your exposure to possible injury because of your job, your next paycheck may actually not be safe. That could become a serious issue one has not included in their calculations. I think almost all of us know someone who took their job for granted, up to the point when it was not.
#5
Re: What % of your signature income gets burned on gambling?
in Gambling discussion
Let's be honest guys, this forum is full of degens, and i know a lot of you use the signature campaign income as gambling fuel. So, share your experience with us.

Personally i would say 50%, but sometime when that "Fun money" hits big i walked away with the profit, that's how i like to roll, as gamblers say, go big or go home.

This is a great question and since you asked for honesty, 250% of my signature income goes to gambling. Grin

I think it depends as you said, it's true that it serves as gambling fuel here and there, but not all the time. It's more when big events are coming like the WC or the UCL final stages. I think then I am usually willing to spend it because there should actually not be a real hope for an ROI. I don't bet on nonsense, but I enjoy watching the matches that I bet on and it is a lot more fun if those matches are of great importance. During the WC now I will take a good amount of risk here and there.
#6
Re: My Interview with Famous Hardware Hacker Joe Grand aka Kingpin
in Reputation
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I think the technique he uses is called Fault Injection. He uses instruments in his lab to manipulate the power on the chip to make it do something it's not supposed to. To instigate a "fault." Hence the name, Fault Injection. The goal is to make the chip leak the data it holds. He wants it to leak the PIN to unlock the device and the recovery seed. If he gets the recovery phrase, he has what is needed to recover a client's wallet, assuming there isn't also a passphrase in play or an unusual derivation path that traditional scanning can't identify.

Because the old Trezor One doesn't have a secure element, Joe has learned how to extract the needed data from the memory using the attacks he performs. I am guessing that the same type of manipulations wouldn't be possible on newer hardware wallets that are equipped with secure element chips.

Hi Pmalek,

I watched the first video again to try and get a better understanding what this guy is doing and now I think I have a rough idea. There is an industry that revolves electromagnetic current to test material for damages and abnormalities. The induced magnetic field changes when spots are discovered that are different from the norm of a whole piece. Say if you have a quadratic piece of steel and you induce a magnetic field at every pixel of that field, the magnetic field won't always be the same and where it changes, you can interpret a weakness in the material even though not visible, or a dent, or some other inconsistency. I think this is what he is doing when he tries to detect a weak spot.

When he discovered a weak spot, in the next step he lets the chip perform a security task like validating a PIN and then injects the fault that can come in many forms, but one of them is to adjust the electrical current and that causes the chip to glitch during the security check for a split of a second and his software setup catches it. One glitch can be that it reveals the real PIN.

It's crazy and hard to understand why the chip reveals information or skips steps, but one explanation, which I think makes a lot of sense, is that chips are made to execute consistently in voltage, clock timing and execution of instruction orders. If that is interrupted, it means some transistors get out of order and that leads to orders being skipped or accidentally granting access to encryption keys. Incredibly interesting.

It took me some time to get down to the second video, but I got goose bumps at 8:00. This young guy lost a fortune because his friends lived in his place and threw away the seed phrase accidentally. It was so bad that the friend had suicidal thoughts and the young guy fell into depression. Joe cracked the Trezor and recovered that money. I am still jealous and I wish I would have his skills, he is blessed. He is such an impressive and humble person, wearing these lumberjack shirts to meet people at the airport and transfer them their cryptocurrencies in person. Grin

Will watch the rest of the second video now.
#7
Re: Saudi Professional League 2023/2024
in Gambling discussion
On the other hand it is possible that they will offer him the same contract or better year after year. Either way he is making unprecedented money there.
There's no doubt about that, now having said that, which is true, I want to see the performance of the Saudi Arabian national team. I want to see, and I'm curious to see, the level of the Saudis. All the technique they've learned from all the European and South American players there, well, the Saudis are learning because they've been training with them. So it's a fact that things are better now, that's why I want to see them, I want to see how far this team can go.

If it was so easy, many countries in the world would have better players by now, but there are still big differences and I don't think much will have changed because Ronaldo and a few others played there for a few years. There is so much more you need to transform a country into a strong competitor in one sports.

Do you think when you let the 10 best cricket players from India play in Portugal that you will see Portugal go into the top 20 of international cricket quickly? That is not possible and you need a whole culture and all the infrastructure and the sport must be under constant development. I don't think it is possible to change that within 20 years, but maybe under special conditions you let 80-100 foreign top players go there for 20 years and then all the other players would learn from it.

In Europe you have scouting in the earliest stages. You have club structures in the cities everywhere, in the countryside, you have everything to let kids go there way in football. I don't think it is like that in Saudi Arabia and no matter how much a Saudi Arabian players trains with Ronaldo, he will never get close to him.
#8
Re: Betcoin.ag | 600$ Champions league final giveaway 30 May
in Games and rounds
@dump3r we also added your 5th place winnings!

That is a generous move and very much appreciated, thank you Betcoin.ag for that giveaway!
#9
Re: La Liga (Spanish League) Prediction Thread 2025/26
in Gambling discussion

Mourinho does understands the needs around the team so I believe he will be able  to handle the situation and get the players to do better.
Mourinho is the only one who can take the reins of Real Madrid and improve them. I don't see any other coach. I saw somewhere that if Riquelme won, he'd bring in Arteta and Haaland, but in that case, Real Madrid would sink much further. For me, the right one is Mourinho. I don't know, but there's a reason they call him "The Special One." Besides, Mourinho's press conferences are unique; La Liga needs that spark again.

The times of the "Special One" are long ago. I liked him a lot as a strategist when he coached Porto and Inter Milan. That was his prime and it was genius because during the matches you could see how much of his mind went into the team's tactics. You don't see that as much anymore and I doubt he is the best choice. I agree you are right that there is a lack of alternatives at the moment, but apart from that he isn't the special one anymore in my opinion.

Mourinho was at Real Madrid when Ronaldo was at his utmost prime time and yet they only won La Liga once in those three years, Copa del Rey once and Supercopa once while Ronaldo scored 53 goals in 54 matches in 10/11 (18 assists), 60 goals in 11/12 (15 assists) and 55 goals in 12/13 (13 assists). UCL in 10/11 was lost in the semifinal, in 2012 again semifinal and then 2013 against Borussia Dortmund in the semifinal.

There isn't much more to ask for than a Cristiano Ronaldo in his prime when you want to win titles, but Mourinho failed. Grin
#10