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Re: Balancing Financial security and Bitcoin Accumulation
in Politics and society (Naija)

Very correct that it's not longer emergency funds if it finds it's way into Bitcoin. The speculation that emergency won't even happen thereby seeing the reason to save emergency funds in Bitcoin is a bad one because in the first place it's not as if you expect any unfortunate circumstances but life happens to us all! Having your emergency funds in Bitcoin means investing every funds available to you and tempering your Bitcoin at any given time. This idea will affect your Bitcoin in many ways, Bitcoin might fall below the dollar rate you inputted and while withdrawing, you withdraw based on the required dollars amount and by that your Bitcoin value will automatically lessen.

It is always best to keep the emergency fund in fiat currency or you can keep it in a place where you can use it very quickly like fiat currency. But if we divide the emergency fund into two parts like 50% in fiat currency and 50% in dollars. In this way, if a person keeps an emergency fund, it will not be a bad decision. If we use the emergency fund kept in fiat currency as soon as we face an emergency situation and later if we use dollars, we can use it in this way too.

The emergency fund should not be kept in a place where you cannot easily access your funds.
Yeah true. Emergency fund should always be kept in something very liquid and can be easy to access.
Splitting it like you said will also make sense, as long as the funds still give that quick access when something urgent comes up. Because that fast access matters more than anything when it comes to emergency matters.
If it's not easily accessible then you are not saving your emergency fund your are simply just saving, it would be better to be able to distinguish between the two, people need to know that for their emergency fund to be of any practical use to then they have to keep it as accessible as possible, most times certain things are covered by insurance but even with the insurance there it doesn't also come as fast so instead your emergency fund takes thst role and pays for what needs to be paid for and then it can be replaced once the insurance is paid, if your emergency fund isn't easily accessible then it's practically in the same place as the insurance.
#1
Re: Does the DCA strategy inspire newbies to invest?
in Beginners & Help
To hold an investment for the long term, we need to have financial security, because the financial situation is not always normal, unexpected dangers can come at any moment, so we need to be careful, and we need to create an emergency fund for financial security. So all in all, as soon as we start investing, we should create a good fund as soon as possible, so that there is no risk on our investment. There may be many obstacles to holding it for the long term, so we need to be careful from all sides, so that our holding is sure.
This is the reason why they said that if we come to investments we should invest the amounts of money that we can able to afford to lose, because a person who is plan to hold for a long period of time will not carry all the money he/she have to invest without any backup like emergency funds as you stated earlier.

That’s why it’s good for every investors to have steady income so that once they invest they won’t be thinking otherwise about the investments or financial insecurity, and because of the unexpected dangers that will come our way during holding; which is why is very important for each an every investors to be vigilant.
What's needed is the discretionary income, it absolutely doesn't have to be steady as long as you can generate discretionary income from it then you are good to go on accumulating bitcoin, most people think they can't generate discretionary income if their income isn't steady, my income isn't a steady one but that doesn't mean I don't get any discretionary income out of it.
What an investor or a potential investor should be looking out for isn't a steady income but one they can generate discretionary income out of.
#2
Re: Organized religion and Gambling, moral or are people just against gambling.
in Gambling discussion
Gambling is something that has been seen by many as been against the principles that the Almighty God commands people to do. Even though there are no clear standing about gambling in terms of God warning against gambling in the Bible yet, many preacher are against gambling. I don't know about other religions but as a Christians and someone who is into gambling I was shocked, to realize that the cloth of Jesus was used to gamble upon. This shows that from time immemorial there has been different forms of gambling activities. The gospel of Matthew talks about lots been thrown over the cloth of Jesus. So is organized religion really against gambling or people are only against it due to their moral right or values so they are opposed to it. There are many reasons religious people who are against gambling will give such as gambling is a tool of the devil used in taking money away from people, that gamble is a scheme of the devil.

But from what I have seen there are allot of things that can take away money From you as an individual, infact anything in life that you are into that you don't have self control will take away money from you. So I want to know from the gambling community is gambling really a tool of the devil since, it has roots right from the days of the Bible.
References
 Matthew 27:35, Mark 15:24, John 19:23.
The bible probably considers anything you can not control in your life as a form of sin, most of them at least and the only way to be a gambling addict is to first be a gamblers, the same way to be an alcoholic you have to be taking alcohol, it's simple logic really, we've all seen to some extent what addiction csn do to a person so when you see preachers of the gospel advising against gambling you can't be too quick to say there is nothing wrong with gambling, they are trying to keep gambling addiction away from their congregation and the most effective way to do that is to shun gambling in its entirety.
#3
Re: UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Season
in Gambling discussion
Despite all the controversy caused by the referee yesterday, IMO individually, PSG and Bayern Munich are close, but tactically, Luis Enrique is far better than Vincent Kompany.

If we only look at performances in the UCL, Dembele and Kvaratskhelia are the two players that deserve the Ballon d'Or. They keep running everywhere. Great at pressing, dangerous in attack.

The score is only 1-1, but the match was still exciting and you could see the quality in this match. They scored early and disciplinedly balanced the attack and defense well. Both played well, but PSG were more dangerous in attack and more well-organized. People are still debating on social media if PSG deserve the final, well for me, a big yes. Entertaining play, attacking football, pure beauty football.

It would be interesting to watch how they manage to play when facing a team with a solid defense like Arsenal, and how Arsenal would overcome PSG's smart selective pressing.

And BTW, the market-implied probability on Polymarket shows PSG as the favorite to win the UCL this season.


PSG is a solid team so it's not out of the ordinary for a majority poll to put them at a higher chance to win than Arsenal but just like odds in matches we can't just conclude on the outcome of the match from votes like this, if the match doesn't come and go we can't tell who is going to win with any certainty.
I personally think PSG has a better chance at winning but what I think isn't what I want, Arsenal has been under for years now when it comes to trophies, at one point they were in a good spot for a quadruple and now they might not even get 2, im just hoping they csn get at least 1.
#4
Re: Buy the DIP, and HODL!
in Speculation

Eish my friend…, that’s a risky game you’re about to play and a very useless one I might say, it is trading but you’re not doing it for dCA you’ll be doing it for greed.

First who is this THEY you seem to be referring to, I think they might be pushing you in the wrong direction.
Let’s look at it: you’re DCAing and instead of going all in with your discretionary you’re keeping some waiting for dip and when you eventually buy the dip you wait for price to go back up and then you sell?…. What’s the purpose of that selling? To buy more with DCA?  Or to increase your stake?..
How does that make sense? Please help me make it sensible.

I know you’re an old member here from your account but I don’t think you’re saying the right thing.


What I want to achieve by buying on dips and selling what I bought on the dip is for two reasons: to split it in half, keeping it in BTC, and to use the other half for when another dip occurs. I would be accumulating BTC, but in a different way, and that would be without stopping my weekly purchases. The method is still there because I had thought about buying on the dip with that fiat money and keeping it all in BTC, but if another dip occurs and I don't have the money to buy, then I would stop buying cheaper BTC and try to accumulate more BTC.


Hmm. What you’re trying to do is a kind of hybrid of DCA + swing trading which might seem good on paper and in the idea that you have.

You’re assuming that the market will continue to give you dips and pumps to complete that cycle. What if you buy at a dip and the market continues dipping or when you sell it keeps pumping for a long time and even when it dips, it never goes back to your entry… you lose BTC.
You hold back dip funds hoping for a dip that may never come, you miss opportunity to accumulate more.

You’re neglecting all the downsides in what you’re proposing or suggesting. And again because this is trading, it will surely have a way to fuck up your emotions overtime due to missed timings, and even affect the regular DCA you are doing


YES! NEVER DO SWING-TRADING WITH DCA OR BUY THE DIP, AND HODL!

Or never do swing-trading at all. Although there may be SOME people who could do it, but majority of the PLEBS like us can never trade more profitably than HODLing Bitcoin. You would merely be wasting your time and Bitcoin.

Bitcoin should be treated as the denominating currency in your portfolio, NOT fiat.
I have to agree with you on this, such a combination will just be counterproductive at the end of the day, it's better to just run full accumulation rather than having to gamble on factors and possibilities you can not control, sugarcoating the idea to make it look plausible still won't make a difference, waiting for dips to buy with the plan of selling once the price pumps is THAT good in theory, once you start trying to be practical about you then you will find out that dips are unpredictable and won't just play along with your plan, accumulating and holding will always be the better strategy.
#5
Re: Does the DCA strategy inspire newbies to invest?
in Beginners & Help
The DCA strategy can certainly encourage new investors to invest since they would not have to struggle to purchase the stock at an ideal price. Novices are often afraid of volatility. but can learn to invest small sums on a regular basis. with discretionary income. which makes the process less stressful. I also concur that reserve funds are as well crucial as emergency can compel individuals to trade their Bitcoin too soon. Long term investing can only work when the daily expenses and emergency requirements have already been taken care of. That is why discipline. patience and right financial planning are of more essence than having to invest big sums at a time.
You can buy large amounts of Bitcoin when you have a lot of experience and can reach a risk tolerance level. Buy large amounts of Bitcoin with funds that are not needed for daily and family needs and that you have as an extra.

DCA method is especially recommended for inexperienced and new investors who have a reason to be afraid. DCA method is important for them during the learning period with discretionary income. You can continuously accumulate Bitcoin in this method without taking investment risks. With increasing experience in the market, you will increase the amount of Bitcoin buy with large funds. There will be an emergency fund to meet emergency needs when holding Bitcoin for the long term. DCA is the best strategy for inexperienced investors as they are afraid of price volatility. They can continuously accumulate Bitcoin from their financial control.
You are right that the DCA method is especially recommended for inexperienced and new investors, but imagine that now Bitcoin whales or legendary investors are keeping the investment process active in this method more than even new ones. So we cannot compare that DCA is only for newbies.

Indeed the main point of this method is that the "start" of investment is built with a small fixed amount. Therefore it can also be called a learning stage because just as every child learns to walk after crawling in childhood, this method you described is also the same. Actually through this method, one can become a legendary investor from a completely inexperienced stage if Bitcoin is deposited in everyone's portfolio regularly, with discipline and for a long time.
The DCA works for everyone but it is especially advantageous to newbies, someone who been investing in bitcoin long enough will already know how switching investment strategies will affect their investment, they also don't need to switch strategies too, they can just use multiple strategies at once depending on their preference but a newbie switching between or even combining different strategies can be seen as being experimental and can usually derail their focus, it will be better for them to just stick to a strategy that is beginner friendly and there is none better than the DCA in that regards.
#6
Re: Analysis based on stats might be useless
in Gambling discussion
Addiction is often brought about by a logical impossibility to work out probability, where the players might think that they can make judgments about the future based on past events only. However, all contemporary betting systems, add a little bit of yet potentially deadly uncertainty to those who do not critically think the risk is. It is only because it makes good sense to begin with trying to understand the following.
You are right, people think to win from gambling its by the power or strength, thinking that their statistics are the one behind their wins without understanding the risks involved. That is to say, they don't get to know or just ignore the fact that gambling is unpredictable, the strategy that might work for you today might not work for you tomorrow and this should what they won't forget in a hurry, as it will save them in time to come.
That's not enough reason to just throw away the obvious advantage understand the stats brings in sports gambling, regardless of how we want to look at it we can not deny understanding stats and analyzing how each team will play against eachother helps on being able to guage the outcome of the game, you might not be 100% correct but your chances are always better than that of someone who just gambles without considering to analyze anything.
#7
Re: UEFA Champions League 2025/26 Season
in Gambling discussion
What can I say about yesterday night's match? On one side I am very happy Arsenal made it to the final because they have been playing one of their best seasons ever; on the other side I feel they are going to be the underdogs no matter who wins between Bayern Munich and PSG. Probably Atletico Madrid would have been a better fit because they play a very different football compared to the other teams. Anyway it's going to be a very fascinating final.
I've never in my life been an Arsenal fan but in all sincerity I actually want them to win this time around, their efforts can not be denied and they have been doing so well, if they are able to push through the finals and come out victorious then that record will really be something, especially for them but the only problem right now is that regardless of who win between their potential opponents, it's going to be tough for Arsenal, pulling of a win will not be easy for them so if they want it they will have to work even harder then they've been doing.
#8
Re: Does the DCA strategy inspire newbies to invest?
in Beginners & Help
yeah dca saved a lot of people from panic selling at the
bottom, no strategy is more boring and more effective
at the same time

DCA is not necessarily boring, especially if you ongoingly work on your cashflows and figure out ways to increase your aggressiveness.

There could be some "boring" aspect in terms of not needing to give much if any emphasis to bitcoin prices, so for example, maybe a guy has a plan to try to prioritize bitcoin investing, and even though on average he is investing around $100 per week bitcoin, yet some weeks he is able to invest close to $300 into bitcoin (based on his cashflows that week) and other weeks, he is only able to invest around $40 or $50.. even though he might have had set up some side funds so that no matter what he buys $40 per week, and another thing that he did is to set his buys to happen anywhere between Friday and the following Thursday.  He tends to get paid on Fridays.. and so he will sometimes strategize his buys within the week (at least when he has time, since some weeks he has several activities on his schedule and he might not have time to manually make his weekly buys).. so if he has a plan that if by Thursday at 8pm, he had not made his weekly buy, he will buy at any price at that time, since on Friday, he will have a new paycheck that comes available.

Maybe he had been carrying out his plans for 6 months, and he has been also building his cashflow management, which is another thing that he considers to be interesting about his carrying out of his cashflow management for the purpose of freeing up more discretionary funds, if he is able to figure out some ways to do it.
What I felt and experienced while doing DCA actually gave me a new activity, and it wasn't boring. I was required to continue managing my finances well to ensure my DCA program ran smoothly. Everyone's financial capabilities are different, and I positioned myself to remain productive so I could generate additional income besides my main job.

I have a target of $30 per week, for example, but I have to strive to allocate more than my usual minimum, not less. I know we can invest any amount without overexerting ourselves, but we have to push ourselves.

Perhaps I'm very excited when doing DCA, so that's what makes this strategy not boring, but in fact, the opposite. Because in my experience, something boring is an activity where I'm not excited about what I'm doing.
As long as your weekly target still comes from your discretionary income then I suppose there is nothing wrong with it but the moment you start pushing for a fixed weekly investment amount then you have to be careful because you might end up having to take from outside your discretionary income in a attempt to reach your weekly quota whenever your discretionary income doesn't reach that threshold and at that point it doesn't matter what investment strategy you are using, DCA or not you are already setting yourself up for a disaster.
Whatever you do make sure to keep your investment within your discretionary income.
#9
Re: JJG’s Outline of Bitcoin Investment Ideas
in Trading Discussion
Therefore, if an investor sells too much of a position or is fearful of not being in the position and keeps buying back when out of the position, they are reducing the amount of their position and also stressing out. Finding balance between having a good plan that is free of emotion and not overtrading will help to maintain proper setups and allow for continued performance without confusion or loss of expected results.
I don't see what good it does a guy to be fucking around trying to trade any of his bitcoin prior to either reaching overaccumulation status or perhaps alternatively, if he cannot resist temptations to trade (gamble) with his bitcoin, then perhaps he could limit whatever trading that he chooses to do to less than 10% the size of his bitcoin holdings.

You seem way too inclined to want to trade, and you don't even seem to have any clues about my own bitcoin investment ideas that happen to be the topic of this thread.  Maybe if you study my investment ideas you might come up with some better arguments in the event that you continue to believe that fucking around with trading and/or diversifying is a good idea.. or maybe some of those ideas are discretionary and they are not really helpful with the kinds of matters being discussed in this thread.
People who want to play with their bitcoin stash shouldn't blame anyone else when everything starts to break down for them, the choice was theirs after all, sometimes people get so desperate to make money that they fall for schemes that on a normal day they will be able to tell that it's worth the effort but once their greed takes over everything thing that promises quick profits becomes the better alternative, they don't care about how realistic it is as long as it comes with the promise of quick profit.
I can't decide for them what they do with their money and neither can you, if they want to fuck around with their bitcoin then the most that can be done is to try and talk them out of it, we can't force them to let go of their greed if they don't want to.

We are still sharing ideas in a public thread, so if guys are presenting ideas that seem to be counter-productive to the kinds of discussions that we are having in this thread, then it seems to be necessary to point out some of the areas in which their comments may well lead other guys down a bad path.

WIYO1 had been hardly giving any context for several of his comment, arguments and suggestions, and he seems to have not read this thread or taken into account that so many guys who are participating in this thread seem to be struggling to do both bitcoin investment and their cashflow management, and he comes in presuming that everyone has some capacity to both lump sum invest into bitcoin and even presuming that bitcoin is one of many quasi-liquid assets that guys hold, as if we were either managing the holdings of a financial advisor or that we were bound by the same guiding principles that financial advisors seem to advise to follow.. ..

and surely there are a lot of aspects of bitcoin that have historically been in tension with financial advisors, and over the past 15-ish years, and perhaps longer, there are all kinds of guys who would have been fucked if they listened to financial advisors about bitcoin and/or how to think about bitcoin allocations and/or portfolio management that involves bitcoin.  There might be more financial advisors coming to bitcoin in recent times, yet I doubt it, since they probably are pushing clients into various paper bitcoin products that are inferior to bitcoin, and so there aren't too many financial advisors who are very good at actually helping bitcoiners, to the extent that some of the financial advisor ideas are going to even be helpful for very many bitcoiners who might not have a lot of money and who are building their bitcoin holdings. Surely, once a person has several years of income invested into bitcoin and/or in other financial products, the financial advisor might be helpful in pointing out some tools that the bitcoiner might be benefitted in using, yet the plight of normies building up their bitcoin holdings tends to not be as much helped by the financial advisor (planner) or guys like WIYO1 who are spouting out various ideas that seem to be coming from a financial advisor/planner.
I'm not too eager to listen to such people, sure there might be those whose advice will steer a person in the right direction but most of them are basically advising to trade rather than to invest and those are not the kind of advice investors should be listening to, if s person's counselling on bitcoin investment aligns with accumulating and holding long term and the strategy they advise to use is good then there is no reason to not listen to them but that is under assumption that the person being advised understands to differentiate between an investment advice and I trading advice.
#10